Domestic Insights

The year 2026 has tested investor conviction. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, crude oil surging from $61/barrel in December 2025 to $118 in March 2026 - a 57% spike in under three months

Periods of geopolitical uncertainty, such as the conflict unfolding today, often lead to higher market volatility and heightened investor reactions.

Periods of geopolitical uncertainty often test investor confidence and increase market volatility. History, however, shows that volatility is not new nor is the emotional response it triggers.

The Union Budget announced early in the month came at a time when global markets are still adjusting to macroeconomic uncertainty, shifting interest-rate expectations, and volatile commodity cycles.

Market conversations often revolve around prediction-what the next quarter might hold, how interest rates may move, whether a rally has more room or a correction is ahead.